Many decision in clinical science and epidemiology -- estimating probability of technical success for a clinical trial, assessing comparative effectiveness of two therapies, imputing a placebo effect onto natural history data -- rely on combining sources of information about a clinical cohort that comes from different kinds of studies. Specifically we contrast patient-level sources that provide granular pictures of individual disease course (clinical trial, registries, or electronic health records) with aggregate sources such as published clinical trial results and the TFLs (tables figures and listings). One strategy for combining aggregate with patient-level data sources is to bring each into a common format for a unified analysis. If one wants to maintain the analytic flexibility of patient-level data, then a natural solution is to convert the aggregate data information into a simulated patient-level dataset that recapitulate those aggregate statistics. This is an under-determined inverse problem in that there are many such datasets, and it cannot be well specified without further constraints. FRESH(Fusion of Recent Evidence with Subject Histories) provides a well-defined method for solving this problem, and therefore providing maximal analytic flexibility.

The source code of Minigrid and Miniworld can be found at https://github.com/ To run the experiments, we have implemented the following functionalities: 1. implemented the human trajectory saving for MiniGrid-FourRooms-v0 (copied the ManualControlclass from Minigrid and added 38 lines of code, which are mostly calling data saving functions); 2. implemented the human trajectory saving for MiniWorld-FourRooms-v0 (copied the ManualControlclass from Miniworld and added 45 lines of code, which are mostly calling data saving functions); 3. implemented data saving and plotting for MiniGrid-FourRooms-v0 (33 lines of code, mostly for Matplotlib); 4. implemented data saving and plotting for MiniWorld-FourRooms-v0 (33 lines of code, mostly for Matplotlib). In total, the implementation of this new functionality required 149 lines of code. The source code is hosted on GitHub. We bear all the responsibility in case of violation of rights.

We proceed to show the sparsistency510 of the estimated parameters. First, suppose that Θ t;ij 6= 0 for some time tand index (i,j). Due to 0 < γ < 1, the above inequality implies that bΘt;ij = 0521 for every t and (i,j) 6 St, and bΘt;ij bΘt 1;ij = 0 for every t > 0 and (i,j) 6 Dt. The proof is inspired527 by Corollary 1 in [47]. First, we present the following key lemmas.528

Despite the remarkable success of transformer-based models in various real-world tasks, their underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Recent studies have suggested that transformers can implement gradient descent as an in-context learner for linear regression problems and have developed various theoretical analyses accordingly. However, these works mostly focus on the expressive power of transformers by designing specific parameter constructions, lacking a comprehensive understanding of their inherent working mechanisms post-training. In this study, we consider a sparse linear regression problem and investigate how a trained multi-head transformer performs in-context learning. We experimentally discover that the utilization of multi-heads exhibits different patterns across layers: multiple heads are utilized and essential in the first layer, while usually only a single head is sufficient for subsequent layers. We provide a theoretical explanation for this observation: the first layer preprocesses the context data, and the following layers execute simple optimization steps based on the preprocessed context. Moreover, we demonstrate that such a preprocess-then-optimize algorithm can significantly outperform naive gradient descent and ridge regression algorithms. Further experimental results support our explanations. Our findings offer insights into the benefits of multi-head attention and contribute to understanding the more intricate mechanisms hidden within trained transformers.

Data heterogeneity among Federated Learning (FL) users poses a significant challenge, resulting in reduced global model performance. The community has designed various techniques to tackle this issue, among which Knowledge Distillation (KD)-based techniques are common. While these techniques effectively improve performance under high heterogeneity, they inadvertently cause higher accuracy degradation under model poisoning attacks (known as \emph{attack amplification}). This paper presents a case study to reveal this critical vulnerability in KD-based FL systems. We show why KD causes this issue through empirical evidence and use it as motivation to design a hybrid distillation technique. We introduce a novel algorithm, Hybrid Knowledge Distillation for Robust and Accurate FL (HYDRA-FL), which reduces the impact of attacks in attack scenarios by offloading some of the KD loss to a shallow layer via an auxiliary classifier. We model HYDRA-FL as a generic framework and adapt it to two KD-based FL algorithms, FedNTD and MOON. Using these two as case studies, we demonstrate that our technique outperforms baselines in attack settings while maintaining comparable performance in benign settings.

Benchmarking the performance of complex systems such as rail networks, renewable generation assets and national economies is central to transport planning, regulation and macroeconomic analysis. Classical frontier methods, notably Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA), estimate an efficient frontier in the observed input-output space and define efficiency as distance to this frontier, but rely on restrictive assumptions on the production set and only indirectly address heterogeneity and scale effects. We propose Geometric Manifold Analysis (GeMA), a latent manifold frontier framework implemented via a productivity-manifold variational autoencoder (ProMan-VAE). Instead of specifying a frontier function in the observed space, GeMA represents the production set as the boundary of a low-dimensional manifold embedded in the joint input-output space. A split-head encoder learns latent variables that capture technological structure and operational inefficiency. Efficiency is evaluated with respect to the learned manifold, endogenous peer groups arise as clusters in latent technology space, a quotient construction supports scale-invariant benchmarking, and a local certification radius, derived from the decoder Jacobian and a Lipschitz bound, quantifies the geometric robustness of efficiency scores. We validate GeMA on synthetic data with non-convex frontiers, heterogeneous technologies and scale bias, and on four real-world case studies: global urban rail systems (COMET), British rail operators (ORR), national economies (Penn World Table) and a high-frequency wind-farm dataset. Across these domains GeMA behaves comparably to established methods when classical assumptions hold, and provides additional insight in settings with pronounced heterogeneity, non-convexity or size-related bias.

Most distributed machine learning systems nowadays, including TensorFlow and CNTK, are built in a centralized fashion. One bottleneck of centralized algorithms lies on high communication cost on the central node. Motivated by this, we ask, can decentralized algorithms be faster than its centralized counterpart? Although decentralized PSGD (D-PSGD) algorithms have been studied by the control community, existing analysis and theory do not show any advantage over centralized PSGD (C-PSGD) algorithms, simply assuming the application scenario where only the decentralized network is available. In this paper, we study a D-PSGD algorithm and provide the first theoretical analysis that indicates a regime in which decentralized algorithms might outperform centralized algorithms for distributed stochastic gradient descent. This is because D-PSGD has comparable total computational complexities to C-PSGD but requires much less communication cost on the busiest node.